FED DREAD & THE 2018 SANTA CLAUSE RALLY POTENTIAL
The Federal Reserve Board is a pure fraud upon the American people. The Fed is not “independent” its panic word to protect itself. The Fed established when the pony express delivered US Mail, is a private stock Non Government private corporation. The secret never reported or disclosed to anyone outside the FED controlling share holders are the banks and investment banks the Fed is supposed to regulate. HOW IS THAT INDEPENDENT. That the Fed means in their panic sound bites – never under mine our independence – is as true meaning – our 80 page act of creation – assures the FED will have no check and balance no over sight no over rule no audits no anything. When congress asked “can you tell us who got the 11 trillion of tax payer money we entrusted to you – their answer is NO SIR – we fill not tell you who got the 11 trillion or which of our banks or what they even did with those trillions. Congress has no powers – zero – over the Fed save the power to merge the fed back into US Treasury.
The day that merger happens we revisit fractional banking and we stop paying interest to print money – itself an insane theft of the wealth of our nation.
The FED was an awful idea and today is pure obsolescence in 2019. The FED if you chart the Fed real track record ( total f grade since 1900 ) has created the boom bust cycles crashes in our economy, all wars, all economic hardship and pain, for pure greed to their banking shareholders. They have a track record on economics that is F grade. Never higher than F. To give the FED reverence instead of putting them all in prison, is the hypnotism you all have today but never knowing the TRUTH.
If you have just 7 minutes economists documenting the truth will make you smart on the Fed. The Fed is using tools that no longer work. They are out dated. The Fed runs economics like they did years ago. The Global Economic system is now evolving outside FED controls via AI and global economic inter-links that create a NEW DIGITAL AI ECONOMIC MODEL with less than 10,000 super money pools and sovereign nation funds all managed by AI that no control the global economic. The Fed is a monkey wrench.
Fed error in policy, is no a threat to the entire world system are core. We have noted the Fed is a 100 year old F level track record. Economies natural state is growth. Growth stops from system tampering and absue. The Fed is presently creating interest rates which impact 9 trillion in free money loans circulating in America that can not refinance their debts ( See Sears ) at the higher Fed required cost to roll over free money into 100x higher money cost. The fed is presently for no economic correctness in policy – making its largest error since 1929 and the market is telling them having lost 3 trillion in market capitalization that your policy is in error boys and girls. The FED must be merged back into US Treasury so that monetary policy is transparent, real time, audited, accountable and with over sight.
A Fed “indépendant” of checks and balances, audits, transparency, and with a long track record of creating such unnecessary financial distress, F GRADE economic policy for 100 years. Each policy error so much worse than the last. The Fed is playing hop scotch with dice and jacks in a 3D digital virtual world they lack any tools to accommodate. They are a model T Ford making policy for the bridge of the STAR SHIP ENTERPRISE. The Fed must be merged back into US treasury or our entire system is at high risk globally. You see it all in markets today.
The problem is only one. POLICY ERROR by the Fed. There are 7 trillion in free money loans outside the USA. The world of 200 developing struggling nations can not afford to massive % gains in this short time frame to their money cost. The Fed right when the boom is beginning to take hold, truncates growth, reduces the supply of money to the money lake and fast and raises the cost of the money still available in a rapidly shrining money lake by 100x in months. The world economy is being shattered by FRAUD & ERROR from a greedy Fed rewarding its banks with ever higher interest and profits. Warren Buffett gets it as he invests in almost nothing but financial institutions today. His last hurrah and not his best as time will show – in our opinion.
The FED is an antique. Treasury is the STAR SHIP. We need the Fed to be merged back into US Treasury by an emergency act of congress in 2019.
THE SANTA CLAUSE RALLY:
I must be the most rare of economist and investment bankers. I have reported to you all we felt ( sans outside events which we have many today ) THAT – by year end the world would see record new asset class values. The DEC rate increase by the Fed may impact that call to the negative we’ll see.
I still expect a Santa Clause Rally. Why? Earnings are at record. Caterpillar made over 99% of projected by Wallstreet earnings. Its best third quarter EVER. Like 100’s of other leading firms in America. Because they missed a fraction of 1% of “expected earnings” the AI trade brought the CAT down by 10% of its overall value – in the best quarter ever reported. This is not normal market value.
I have written that our markets have been under a digital attack through the election period as a winning strategy to make sanction costs back, by nations effected, by profiting from our markets by attacking them digitally. We have zero defense for these AI attacks today. The markets then behave un-naturally. The attacks have made their profits and I suspect the attackers all profit again as their tapering the attack restores market vitality. Year end portfolios I suspect will not wish to be LEFT OUT or in any way LEFT BEHIND in the Santa Clause Rally. To be sure we will no see more volatility as AI tries to figure out the head winds against the 1 TRILLION IN US HOLIDAY BUYING setting all time records into 2019.
The Santa Clause Rally we feel will depending on FED cruel system policy error impacts, raise asset values based on pure earnings outcomes to record all time highs as we have reported against the common “stuff” you are reading.
THE HEAD WINDS TO GLOBAL ECONOMICS
Trade Wars. World trade is effected by trade wars not resolved until new box top rules with no nation left behind unfold. The old protectionist model used by 100’s of nations no longer work in the new AI global inter-linked NEW ECONOMY. The global system has experienced an economic miracle of inter linking by AI in only sixty months. Today we have a new economy. Without regulatory upgrading merging the FED into USA Treasury ( to stop the economic fraud ) risk rises. Trade wars are having huge effects. China is not ok. China is falling economically to a level it can’t afford to pay its bills and borrows 300% more than it makes to operate a phony baloney economy that is truly failing. The RUN out of China by 10,000 SUPER MONEY POOLS, by companies by everyone is a market share shift that is moving forever market share out of China. China is now to identified as an IP nation of criminals, at economic war with all outsiders. Trillions have been hacked stolen and partnerships into China theft of IP the greatest cost of economics on the world stage. If China wishes to preserve its RULE OF “NO” LAW – protecting its thieves – as there is no separation of business and industry in China – in China the government is the industry and all industry is the government. Trade wars will escalate until they resolve and until then the system has head winds world wide.
Fed interest cost. The Fed policy error of reducing market liquidity and availability to capital in a rapidly shrinking lake of dollars required to lubricate economic global outcomes, is ill timed. The FED did a never before in history experiment economically. They bailed out bad bets by their banks using tax payer money by 20 trillion in the USA and central banks globally 100’s of trillions in FREE MONEY. After a decade of FREE MONEY 200 poor nations require TIME as a missing ASSET MODEL to adjust to normalizing rates that effect the world economy. The Fed is in error in policy, using old play books not relevant since 1955 – an antique failed policy maker – now raising interest way to fast way too high each time and way too frequently. Why? Looking backwards always at obsolete box top rules the FED simply is a broken institution and fully failed at making wise economic policy. THE US TREASURY has the forward looking brains engaged in the NEW ECONOMY. The Fed doesn’t believe their is a new digital inter-linked economy – where their play book is obsolete entirely. The Fed is risking a world wide system failure and total melt down as they continue their failed policy into the future. Only congress can merge the FED back into US treasury and they informed, truly must for the entire world stability. The Fed is raising interest rates for protections that are not relevant and no longer matter. Their policy error can create panic and system destruction all due to the Fed being obsolete. Today the FED is the most dangerous tinker shop to global economics having only pain and no gain looking forward. Criminal really. In my opinion if just criminal negligence.
Super Debt Bubble. There are 100 trillion dollars in bad loans never to be repaid residing as solid performing assets on financial institution balance sheets – exempt from what law we all must comply with FAIR MARKET ACCOUNTING. This credit abuse must work its way out of the system and requires TIME to do that work out. The Fed is removing time and raising interest cost to reset trillions in free money loans to roll over to 100x and 100x more cost for money. MOST can’t pay it yet. They increasingly will bust out ( see Sears Circuit City and Bebe closing 100’s and 100’s of stores ). THE GREAT SUPER DEBT BUBBLE bursting ( because of the error in fiscal policy by the criminal banks and criminal Fed who control money versus the USA controlling it as we did for 100’s of years – is a huge HEAD WIND. Debt cascade in digital AI space can crash the entire system in 72 hours as a forward head win only possible because of the extent of FED error on policy. There is no way under 100 year old terrible law, the 80 page Fed act, to influence check and balance or oversight the Fed. The illusion of Fed oversight is a fraud on the American people and the world. Headwinds.
CONGRESS – Trump lost congress. As congress unfolds into the most bitter bi partisan dysfunction the politics is war. The game is to assure Trump fails in two years to win another four years. The economy is the BIG ISSUE. If the new congress can stay united to focus hatred on everything Trump almost irrationally, the multiple attacks to derail Trump’s team, will return to normal. The most cruel vicious mean savage like wagon wheel spokes around the new Nancy Pelosi strategic HUB, is a head wind. If INFRASTRUCTURE is passed next or soon, the stimulus may offset the FED headwinds entirely. If infrastructure stalls the economic growth moving forward compressed by Trade WAR and Fed Policy will stall and 2019 will slow to a shadow of 2018. Headwinds. Unknowns. The economic consequence of a dysfunctional congress at this time in ECONOMIC HISTORY is a HIGH RISK to the global system itself as those in charge have limited perspective that SUPER CHANGE has forever buried old economics – created a NEW ECONOMIC – and the world lacks theory regulations or appreciation that OLD RULES no longer succeed in the entirely NEW ECONOMY. Head winds.
The Fed in 2018 did two errors in fiscal policy. First they shrank liquidity in the crises of a FREE MONEY SUPER DEBT BUBBLE world wide, the Fed created in the first place. For the swimming pool of money – going down down down – as liquidity evaporates to circulations needed to prosper all nations today – the Fed second act is soaring interest rates 100x higher than 2017. The market can not afford both policy errors world wide. The EU the Gulf Asia and Africa and South America and 200 developing countries can no longer see a way to grow due to the soaring cost of capital and the withdrawal of capital to their markets and plans. Headwinds.
ALTERNATIVE TO STOCKS: Equities bought for sixty month periods chart as high return parking stalls for capital and investment. Today the Fed is moving to an inverted yield curve they are creating by error in policy. When two year T BILLS or Fed Notes are paying higher than 3% money has a choice to move out of equities and balance portfolios with debt. The Fed policy is more concerned how to sell its crap 5 trillion of crap bonds it bought from its banks back into the market space today. The FED PLAN is a TIME FAILURE. The Fed using old box top rules that are fully obsolete today, simply make great error in monetary policy. TIME is required to manage the SUPER DEBT BUBBLE. The Fed is creating alternative to equity investing as you have seen, and money is rebalancing across portfolio space assured of a recession green light, from an inverted 2019 yield curve a catastrophe in new AI linked global inter-linked economics. Today markets move at the speed of AI not humans. As no one is leading the New Economy outside the US Treasury who lacks FED POWERS until the Fed I merged back in fact no one is creating successful economic policy but world leaders trying to offset their own criminal central bankers. If all major banks have been guilty of financial crimes greater than any individual ever, and no one goes to jail EVER, how would their stock holder based FED not reflect they are a single criminal gang raping national wealth. Headwinds post merger of the Fed back to US Treasury.
EARNINGS: Earnings are the bright spot. The earnings were so good going into year end. The 1 TRILLION US BUYING alone will be a tail wind. Next quarter the 4th quarter earnings will surprise from FAANG and APPLE and we suspect AI will Santa Clause Rally asset price values to new record all time highs supported by 4th Quarter earnings. As Jamie Diamond so accurately pointed out – there is so much STUFF going on “out there” that combined the STUFF globally can rock confidence and AI buying. We’ll have to see in the weeks ahead.
The Gulf: MBS is a sociopathic murderer. There is no rule of law for the Puppy King. The Saudi salud families will have to in their process define their King moving forward. MBS is no longer an asset. MBS has caused Saudi trillions in failed oil policy and lost market share. Cutting back today is silly. OPEC just gives market share to their competitors. Insane. OPEC cutting back say 1.4 million barrels a day is big loss of market share and revenue. Libyia is up now 500,000 barrels a day and soaring as a peace dividend. Iran is rising oil output. Venezuela is in its lowest out put with huge gains possible coming up. America is up over 2 millions barrels a day in 24 months – a day and soaring. OPEC is acting like it won the oil wars when it lost those wars. OPEC BREAKING UP as members pump what they wish and desire. Putin is not cutting back revenue to sanctioned Russia in the current market share wars. Every nation must protect its own customers on price and buying for market share. OPEC has been destroyed by MBS now we’ll see how much cost to a stability in the Gulf can really unfold. Trumps protection of the RELATIONSHIP WITH THE NATION must never be confused with support for MBS the murder. There is a CIVIL WAR INSIDE THE SAND PALACE and the Puppy King will find this all does not end well for he and his daddy. Trust this headwind – Gulf instability as OPEC breaks up and the economics of oil shift from OPEC to AMERICA the largest oil producer on earth. Lower oil prices are working this Holiday to pour money back into economics as the FEW AGAINST THE MANY pricing oil artificially to levels no free open market can support – is economic abuse. All such abuse must work its way out of the system. The DEMAND for OIL is no longer rising and the fall in demand is staggering as the world moves to alternative fuels that do not pollute and change our climate. The fall in oil demand between now and 2030 is higher and faster than old economics thinker have charted. In the NEW ECONOMIC WORLD ORDER the largest shift of plentiful cheap renewing fossil fuels ( the earth shifts and farts fossils fuels as a factory ) – back to market driven pricing – will foster TAIL WINDS to propel economic growth offsetting FED error in policy to some degree. We all have to wait to see how much. When everyone predicted 100 dollar oil this summer and we mean everyone we reported Oil would crash and drop to 50 dollars a barrel from over 80. Right again.
AI & REAL WARS: World War III began when the axis of evil nations created the first global Digital weapon to attack our markets in 2007. This attack created trillions of profits for sanctioned nations. In October a hardened next generation of AI digital war weapons was fired to destabilize our stock markets. The Sanctioned nations made profits with this weapon and influenced the America election with economics more than any face book post could ever hope to do. They AXIS of Evil in trade wars sent a message to the USA we have your markets in our AI. Deal with us carefully or we will destroy the entire system and see who wins on the other side. Unless we triple the SEC and global regulatory budgets and unless we develop a G 100 no nation left behind trade rule set and regulatory frame work for the ENTIRELY NEW ECONOMICS – AI DIGITAL INTER-LINKED ECONOMICS – the core system is at risk. All regulations are obsolete and unworkable as a new AI ECONOMY is Super Changing past the regulatory agency and planners capacity to remain current. Regulations are not re-tooled for the NEW AI ECONOMICS – all local while trades are in the un-regulated cloud. Until the SEC has upgrades in authority laws and AI TOOLS to regulate an AI market the SEC is regulating with old box top rules – full head winds and dangerous. We suggest CONGRESS upgrade the SEC massively before its too late. Failure to do so is a system killing risk or head wind.
Will we have a Santa Clause rally or a digital attack to help negotiate trade war outcomes using leverage ? Believe me this is what keeps US TREASURY up into the night.
OLD NEWS – NEW NEWS
Economic reporting is locked into old box top rules that do not provide accuracy transparency and lack of secrets. The old news reporting focusing on box top rules that no longer apply fail to appreciate the HEAD WIND COMBO we have reported to you. We feel in self service the Axis of Evil ( sanctioned nations ) have made their profits, have successfully influenced the AMERICAN economy and elections. Now will in removing the AI attacks and returning their own AI profit making as asset prices rise to record highs in a SANTA CLAUSE RALLY the reason for such a rally if it unfolds as we predict is earnings profits and growth. The EU is collapsing in trade war and EU legal issues and debt bombs beginning with EU Italy. Potentially a debt default cascade in the making as just one EU risk. There are many more. Britexit and others coming up. A NEW ECONOMY IS SUPER CHANGED UPON THE WORLD AND THOSE REGULATING AND PASSING LAWS HAVE NO CLUE THE ECONOMY THEY THINK ABOUT IS DONE DEAD AND BURIED AND THEY AND THEIR STAFF LACK RELEVANT DATA ON THE ENTIRELY NEW AI ECONOMY SUPER CHANGING FASTER THAN REGULATORY AGENCIES CAN RE-TOOL. This risk is the foundation risk issue.
70 years of post depression economics are dead and buried. In only sixty short months the entire frame work of global economics has gone AI where evolving AI in what we call the new AI WARS, is evolving into NEW so rapidly no one can keep pace. No one understands the NE ECONOMY. The BAD DEBT SUPER BUBBLE is a TIME item that most work out of the system as abuse over time. The lack of consideration for TIME itself is now the economic chip that may sink us all. Ignorance is the big risk. The system is a NEW ECONOMY and the global system works with rules for an old economy that is no longer here at all. See the problem more clearly now?
WHO READS THIS MEDIA OUTLET ON NEWS?
This blog is read by CEO SPACE CEO’s in over 140 nations who influence policy in their nations. Congress reads this blog and staff for world leaders read this blog to keep current in Super Change. Hedge Funds Private equity banks investment banks and lobbyist read this blog. What we document and present here is soon a debate between nations. This blog introduces policy considerations increasingly in the new AGE OF SUPER CHANGE policy makers seeking to remain out front and leading require to advance. We are typically accurate in economic forecasting, by track record our readers consider is hard data well researched and that provides MISSING DIRECTION to navigate the NEW ECONOMY. We are working increasingly with invitations from Think Tanks and policy advisers along with congressional staff on these issues.
CEO SPACE as the Top Ranked CEO Community in the world today now beginning a FORTH DECADE of serving business leaders in almost 200 nations today, works tirelessly to foster policy favorable to small business, the 90% employer and stimulus for all economics. Nations creating next generation ENTREPRENEUR LEGAL FRAME WORKS will prosper in any forward economic condition. Those nations who fail to modernize ENTREPRENEUR FRIENDLY POLICIES will wither in our opinion. We advise nations on those legal frame works as they reach out to us as more and more are doing today.
SUPER CHANGE CHALLENGE
Everything you were taught or know is obsolete today. SUPER CHANGE is re-tooling systems as AI is the new reality no one yet appreciates sufficiently as to the speed and degree of SUPER CHANGE.
The markets are changing. You just saw that. You didn’t know a digital attack was making trillions for sanctioned nations who just offset sanctions and won in their economic warfare as we yet lack tools to defend ourselves. SUPER CHANGE requires currency. New leadership brains lean faster – unlearn even faster and re-learn even faster as a brain thinking barometer. These brains insure team work at the top will make dreams work for all stake holders Old brain teams…..failing to adapt to SUPER CHANGE …will perish. See SEARS – TOYS R US and CIRCUIT CITY for recent failures to adapt to SUPER CHANGE.
To my CEO SPACE membership, I invite you to read the recent blogs on the digital attack and on your own reunion CEO SPACE event in Tampa DEC 11th. I’m asking ll readers to ask – are you current to manage forward? If not why not save year end tax bucks and acquire a lifetime membership in CEO SPACE as you become current in Super Change. If the markets are dramatically changing today do you not require some currency in the 2019 play book? How priceless is that upgrade to your mental software as a leader?
I encourage my CEO SPACE community to join their own RE-UNION Forum Dec 11th registering at our web site http://www.ceospace.net
I believe facing the head winds listed here we all do better in community together as leaders. We can and will profit in any market IF WE HAVE PRICELESS CURRENT TOOLS for doing just that.
Dec 11th the # 1 Ranked program to bring CEO’s current and keep them ahead leading is taking place in Tampa Florida. You are all invited to far better use of time and upgrading than any other priority you can set for yourself. CEO’s helping CEO’s is a miracle that assures your life style is fully insured to do well.
I encourage my readers to join us Dec 11th and for long time readers I can’t wait to meet you personally and coaching you individually which I do during the Forum week myself. We decline memberships like MBS in Saudi for moral reasons. Other than that you’re invited.
Headwinds can be tail winds if you know how to turn your plane in flight. We’ll help you.
Berny Dohrmann – KEEPING THE TRUTH ON FOR YOU INTO YEAR END RAMP BACK UP
PS: To my CEO SPACE community of readers world wide may I invite you to comment on any item and share your views ? I answer all comments myself…..personally most saying thank you. I appreciate the time to share with one another as feed back.
WHAT DOES IT REALLY MEAN….TO “BE”…..AMERICAN?
MY LAST TWO BLOGS – year end essentials – define the economic shifts going on include actual digital attacks on our markets, where those doing the attacks distort markets and maximally profit for their own accounts. This is not your grandma’s market any more. We will pause on the data and bring your expectation ( still ) for a Santa Clause rally. Why? Because you can’t remove a virus unless you know you have one. If our markets are with record all time earnings showing crazy behavior outside the rules and laws of economics, then you must explore an attack distorting normal markets is under way. Once the “guards guarding the guards” KNOW THERE IS AN ATTACK the value of the attack dwindles. We sounded that bell for our GUARDS and their GUARDS last week and it is now taking hold. The attacks are rolling back like a great digital tide and what we feel may become the GREAT REBALANCING is about to be a wealth reclaiming up wave, where even those attacking win big as the market normalizes. We’ll talk about forward SUPER CHANGE issues we all must face moving forward. If you have better information you prosper if you do not you won’t. Stay tuned. Right here.
My last blog invited you all to insure your life style and to join CEO SPACE in an all member reunion Dec 11th – business New Year is Dec 11th to launch into Jan Feb and March in ways impossible to match outside the # 1 ranked accelerator for growth in business in the world by by third party press in 2018.
CEO SPACE Gives our thanks for our rankings in the press for the fifth year the # 1 ranked business conference in the entire world. Highest praise you can get. Breaking all the record books on quality. And serving the owners of business and practices up to public institutions as no firm has ever done. Read my last blog and give yourself a great GIFT THIS THANKSGIVING its a scroll and 3 minutes to get priceless perspective information. Happy Holidays.
In our home we will give gratitude around our table. Sharing five gratitudes for what it means to our children to we as parents to our guests to simply B AMERICAN. We so seldom appreciate what it all means.
99.9% of Americans are as far from crazy brains that populate news stories in any year as the moon is from Hawaii. We 99.99% mow your lawns, we blow our drive ways, we rent movies and barbecue cue. We celebrate our common adventures and while we fight like ding bats with one another anyone outside America who joins the fight most often finds 99.99% of us – WE THE PEOPLE – the entire tapestry of us in all races and creeds – rise up as one and cohesively as no nation on earth express to the entire world when challenged just what it MEANS TO “BE” AMERICAN and on ONE DAY we are so grateful to simply “BE” AMERICAN and to celebrate that being as one people.
We are not white or black or asian or hispanic. We are never a master race or a master faith. We celebrate a FLAG that is a SYMPOL of the TAPESTRY of our nation, fought over for freedoms in blood ( our Red stripes on the flag ) and our nation united under God our blue stripes on the flag, and the illumination of never ending reinvention within our unique freedoms to do so – the white light of our flag as the Grace in Our Space.
There are no race or creed in the California fires. Just Americans coming together as one to donate to the Red Cross or to help on site as they can and still are doing. There was no race or creed that night, that sabbath night in Penn State when I joined others in a Midnight candle light visual for folks I only knew in my heart as far from words hen one says….my fellow American’s who were shot dead that day by a crazy brain….and I saw all faiths all creeds all races as one holding candles with tears streaming down our faces.
That is the America we celebrate BEING part of …for it is WE THE PEOPLE of this nation that are the gratitude. I am grateful for every single one of you. Those who love me as well as those no so much perhaps. I am grateful you have been in my life and I beside yours in this time of common shared history of Super Change. Together we create safe harbor for one another.
No greater symbol of that united SAFE HARBOR that so confuses our enemies is this single holiday this special date line to bask in gratitude for what it truly means for us to simply “BE” AMERICAN. To ponder a second here on there how crazy lucky we are together to own this nation and we are her shareholders for the future. US. All of US.
President Reagan’s favorite speech ( of mine on this BEING AMERICAN ) conveyed a message to the world. President Reagan stated that you can migrate to many nations of your own choosing. In all of them you may be in that nation for a generation, for a decade or two or even three or five generations as time passes. And you will discover that though you reside for 30 years in Paris you are never FRENCH no not really or Spanish or German or Nigerian. You are a guest of the French.
No ( President Reagan reminded us ) in the world today what is true is that there is only ONE NATION that you can migrate to and in 30 days not 30 years you are in every aspect of your being welcomed to actually and in fact truly BE AMERICANS. This invitation to BE AMERICAN is not available anywhere else upon the earth. BEING AMERICAN is the hope and the promise or our never ending adventure. Our gratitude for this right for this privilege for this never ending experiment in human dignity and human choice unfold in AMERICAN to all who join us. You are never a GUEST “OF” AMERICA for you, and all of us, the children of the cultures of the entire world forge a tapestry of tolerance acceptance and rule of law as no where else in human history.
AMERICA with all its work left to do, with all its wrongs that need fixing from all that is right about America, are assured that what is right about America to fix all those wrongs as time unfolds will always be US. WE THE PEOPLE. American’s. One and all. Indivisible one people, UNDER GOD, and MAY GOD BLESS AMERICA AND YOU – HAPPY THANKSGIVING.
I wish our CEO SPACE members in over 140 nations a peaceful weekend as AMERICA recalibrate our tap root – the super glue that binds us – is a culture that has no words for what it truly means to just BE AMERICAN. We all get that. We all celebrate that. We all are one in that. Today. On this holiday.
We not public education, WE THE PEOPLE, on today, transmit the precious culture of our celebration and unity to each other on THANKS GIVING. WE the sane brains the 99.99% of the BEST OF THIS NATION are engaged in a reflection of gratitude for our blessing to BE AMERICAN.
I send to you all this tradition with prayer pride and love for my own people. I so am honored to be an American by your side inside these enormous changes we are resolving and living through collectively. I wish you prosperity in the SUPER CYCLE to year end, I wish you abundance in your New Year and Holiday season, and I wish you to always be healthy and safe in the world of your own making.
Today we work on one list. We lock up our list of criticisms divisions and our natural focus on problems we wish to resolve for the common good. Today we retired that list. We focus today on the ONE LIST OF OUR GRATITUDES FOR BEING AMERICAN….we make a little personal inventory list….one to one for our own inner peace and renewal …..our gratitude at pure core that we are all sharing BEING AMERICAN TOGETHER. That list. That wonderful list. That list like incense rising to the Saints themselves from our reflections on what makes God thrilled he made us all.
Our gratitude thrills source and replenishes your very soul.
I wish you that LIST and the happiest holiday as you example how culture of treasuring what we all mean to each other ( really and truly ) to share AMERICA on our earth walk and watch this Thanksgiving Weekend in America on one holiday a year to work on the BEST LIST OF OUR LIFETIMES.
God BLESS AMERICA AND ALL HER LEADERS ENTRUSTED WITH OUR FUTURES:
Berny Dohrmann – A PSALM FOR YOUR THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AMERICA
PS: This weekend my last two blogs may be blessings for you as my most important reporting of the entire year to date. Have a GREAT WEEKEND & HOLIDAY everyone. And yes I believe absent other factors a SANTA CLAUSE RALLY will shock you all on record all time wealth across asset classes by close of year….I hope the Fed reads this.
SURGE & HEAD WINDS – WHAT TO DUCK & WHAT TO BUCK
The wrong minded obsolete and antique fiscal policies of the Federal Reserve Board, always looking backward using tables criteria charts graphs and data that no longer is complete, the right basket of data and irrelevant to the NEW GLOBAL DIGITAL AI economy over which the Fed has zero data, information, or relevant tools to effect policy outcome. It is like flying a plane Into a mountain with zero instruments on board to tell you the mountain is dead in front or that your too low in altitude not to crash. The Fed flies along happy with past flights taken years ago being the same as today’s flight only they are in the Rocky Mountains now now over the clear blue ocean by Mexico flat and desert like. Now they have real mountains only they can’t see them. That is the Fed.
So the FED has created far more market DREAD in the new economy than in past cycles because now everything economic is new noting like the past. The Fed is making terrible policy errors and thinks they are right. This is always the real crises in economics. Wrong minded tampering with the core basis.
So all economies grow or shrink based upon confidence that propels:
- Consumer spending
- Government spending stimulus
- Or both
Economies contract and business downsize workers with lay off’s when:
- Consumers slow own spending
- Governments slow down spending
- Or both
The longest highest boom expansion in modern record keeping is right now in the Holiday of 2018. The largest Holiday buying season with 72% of world spending taking place in October November and December appears to be a record setter of estimated over ONE TRILLION DOLLARS for the first time in history in just America. This will fuel last quarter record earnings reporting in the first quarter, which should spill over well in the first quarter, depending on weather and climate change issues, to propel a solid start to 2019. We have stated record earnings would drive record all time high stock prices. We”ll all see.
The head winds are along the lines we have written to you. What keeps me up at night for all of you?
China had in 2017 zero dollar based loan defaults. In 2018 China has 34 billion in loan defaults in dollar based debts. Today around 33 billion in dollar based China debt rise up for renewal every 90 days. In 2019 the trade war dropping CHINA GNP, its crash of its stock market, the crash of its currency, the falling off a cliff of industry since the rush to order before Tarriff Christmas Time, is creating enormous China pressure internally if they don’t get a deal sealed with Trump.
China stressed with interest rate roll over to the dollar based debt of almost 1 trillion dollars total and rising, assures that with 500% roll over debt cost from the FED making policy errors on TIME for the normalization, will now spark record defaults. Everyone is telling us these record loan defaults will not SPILL OVER and become a global CASCADE.
We think they are all wrong and it keeps us up at night. We think the bad loans in China are going to sink the global economic system at core do to catastrophic Chinese market Super Crashes led by housing first, moving to manufacturing second, and finally with the combination of enormous defaulting, a Debt Contagion that is threat the entire global core system. The NEW ECONOMY is global, interlinked, like nothing that has been taught or come before, has new rules, is Digital and entirely AI driven, and no one today even knows what the box top rules of AI waring with AI for profit taking, looks like from a new regulatory frame work. The Fed operating with heads all demon turned backward on their necks use 1955 tools that promise catastrophic outcomes for the core system, playing like a Fed Pied Piper to get all their banks marching all their depositors right off a giant cliff – playing their old music on their old mouth organ, like they knew what they were doing in fact.
The FED is so obsolete antique and out of touch with modern regulatory policy that they simple need to be merged back into USA Treasury with oversight accountability and audits – so the real smarty pants can make policy that have some clue that the economy has morphed and is nothing like the old templates the Fed regulated before they flooded the world with 100 trillion dollars.
The outcome of that flood is very much unknown and may in hindsight be the economic killer that was the death blow to the old post war system. Can we peacefully get out of the SUPER DEBT BUBBLE the pig in the economic python the abuse that must be rebalanced without an economic calamity.
I believe the FED has already killed CHINA and 200 other developing nations with soaring dollar prices in all markets while interest rates are raised to 7 trillion free money loans over ten years now ROLLING OVER into 500% and rising new costs to re-tool those loans. Economically I say to the Fed….its math 101 ….can not be done folks. You set up the barrier to growth that is fatal globally for all nations. Why? Because your regulating an economy THE OLD ECONOMY that is dead buried and no longer exists and you lack the upgraded prescription glasses to see the missing data and incomplete global internet-links so that unintended consequence to YOUR FAILED POLICIES is more compounding of your failure. The speed of the outcome will leave blisters on your Fed governors asses folks. You are so dead wrong in this after math shoot from the hip old model policy and you will create WORLD WAR III out of the Shock Doctrine ( by Namoi Klein economist at Amazon ) you are executing today.
Housing is the lion share of GNP. Housing is crashing in America due to Failed Fed totally wrong direction policies. They are wrong in their conclusions about:
- The job market
- The risks
The Fed is protecting us all from risks that do not exist in the New Economy ( but the Fed glasses are old prescriptions and work in 1941 but not in 2018 ). The Fed is failing to protect us from the SUPER RISKS in the market they are making far worse for all of us.
Housing declining against soaring interest costs now effects all durable goods order. Some economist credit 3/4 of the economy on the back bone of healthy housing. Today the housing market is:
- Out of economic balance – too many homes cost too much for the average earning to qualify for the loans to buy them.
- Too many homes can’t be refinanced because the home owner awash in debts has lack of credit standing yet to accommodate those loans.
- Too many lack credit qualification as wages have not risen well for ten years, so that they can not trade up.
- Soaring home prices and soaring home lending costs have destroyed the housing Market in America.
- The housing market is crashing and the down sizing and lay off’s are taking hold across technology to food production that even crashing gasoline prices can’t offset fully the FED error in policy to not normalize over a greater time period where TIME in the new economy is the missing healer elixir but the Fed has no clue.
So the economy – fragile in global recovery – following the worst side betting in history by banks and investment banks and financial institutions, leading to trillions in losses and bad side bets into casino capitalism, where bailed out by the tax payers of nations Into privately owned stock firms, central banks, who never report at all where the trillions actually went. Never.
Do you want a high priest banking system that is cut off from the New Economy, makes policies in secret, reports to no one, has no check and balance, gets an over ride on printing all money, when the Treasury can do all that with full reporting for free. Further the Failed Fed does its costly work of destroying economic growth, for pure greed of its shareholders all the while LYING to AMERICA suggesting the criminal bankers who all pled guilty to crimes in America who are the secret OWNERS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD STOCK SHARES – all in great secrecy- lie to you and say the Fed is independent. Yes the Fed is beyond check and balance but is that not what we wish to CHANGE. Do we not want a real agency of nation who is under check and balance to control our money – like US TREASURY who did so without world depressions and wars for 100 and 100’s of years? LETS GO BACK TO OUR OWN FUTURES.
MERGE THE FED hurting the US ECONOMY back into US treasury.
The housing market is dying and the Fed is killing the US Housing Market which is 3/4 of USA GNP all drying up by failed Fed Policy a child could see is wrong. Congress says they are wrong. The White House says they are wrong. Only the Fed is the one agency that answers to no one one – so bad for economics and the world today. The cause of our DREAD IS ALWAYS THE FED.
Never doubt they are wrong in policy making. They have created every boom bust cycle and all the disasters – the FED FAILED POLICY STREAM EASY TO GOOGLE RESEARCH HAS BEEN WRONG AND A FAILURE 100% OF THE TIME from 1907 to today. WHY KEEP THE LOSER INSTITUTION? I’m just asking ? When do we say enough loss and pain is enough loss and pain? There has to be a BETTER WAY in the AI world’s we reside inside of today. THE FED is simply 100 year obsolete body doing much more harm than good today and MUST BE MERGED INTO US TREASURY to upgrade our nation and modernize economics into the NEW WORLD ORDER.
Housing is dying. In America. Seven months dying from the Fed. 3.4 of America economics and GNP ….this keeps me up at night ….as the Fed has no responsibility for the pain policy errors make millions suffer through for one reason – the FED is obsolete and wrong.
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE SHOCK DOCTRIN:
The new congress will open with multiple prong attacks to investigate the President along the lines of Kavanaugh. The meanness and viciousness of those investigations will be used to negotiate democratic deals in legislation. During this period of Congressional return to 25 years of grid lock and congress dysfunction the nation is mis governed and mis directed.
Today if you elect a President elect that leaders congress so congress works – having nothing to do with party. Congressional dysfunction in a SUPER CHANGE global market space, is suicide for nations. We face coordinated attacks from leaders elected in effect forever united in policies that are working against us and for them. We are inside world war III which is digital economic and AI driven and we are losing. Out dysfunctional leadership always under internal attacks ever more costly in lost options and opportunities is holding America back at the starting gates of the NEW AI economy.
Consumer confidence was all time record highs going into to year end 2018. Same for business confidence indexes.
We anticipate confidence will crash in 2019 due to congressional dysfunction on policy and Fed further action to destroy the boom and secure a massive global recession market. Oh the Fed will as all criminals do so well BLAME GAME the results upon others but the culprit the economic criminal acton is the FAILED FED POLICY. Mark that you KNOW THAT NOW….
You can’t issue 7 trillion in free money loans and roll that loan pile over into 500% higher lending charges in only 12 months without a disturbance in the economy. Such as massive DEBT DEFAULTING rising like a Moon Shot rocket from the Cape. Beyond the FED to control when their policy fails due to incapacity to appreciate the world is engaged in a new economy and the Fed is stock in quick sand of an old economy that has not existed for over half a decade – all gone now and long past buried.
The Fed are the walking dead for the old economy – economic zombies.
The consumer confidence on congress and administration built to record all time peaks is now going to with a new congress and impaired embattled President move into contests all political theater for the two year race for President which is starting now – beginning with 18 months of tarnish label and muck – creating its own momentum in the negative.
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE can only withdraw along with spending even as business spending and investment is now crashing.
SPECULATION – CASINO CAPITALISM
The economy of the world is driven by wild unwanted speculations. This speculation occurs by investing 90% of all capital flows into side bets on which way an asset class will go in a short term future date in time. Betting on price. When enough money flows into such bets it manipulates prices in the real market. Today with stock buy backs in the billions of dollars, a trillion last year a trillion this year – manipulating stock prices – we have a pure casino. Stock prices are manipulated when speculation money pools buy back stock, to reduce the size of the company float and engineer stock price higher to the lower float size – creating bonus and trigger to bonus from insiders – all cheating all manipulating and all having nothing to do with real economics.
Prices for all commodities asset classes and currencies are fully manipulated by less than 10,000 SUPER MONEY POOLS all speculating in borrowed margin trading up to 50 dollars side betting on future price ranges to every dollar of real investment – fully borrowed fully leveraged in what the new AI folks believe is risk-less risk. As your ETF accounts assume the majority of trading flows. AI wars against AI for compression of short term profits through wild speculation trading algorithms. Folks are investing billions to steal these trading code pathologies given the trillions in profits that can be made inside the CASINO today on all up and all down trading. SPECULATION SOFTWARE runs the CASINO.
There is no regulation upon:
- Wealth consolidations
- Speculator Gambling to make short term profits ( criminal in only 1999 )
- Tax avoidance speculations
- Geo investing to exploit minerals and labor maximally punishing greed moderations at any level of constraint or oversight
- Relaxing the regulations we have which are 80% obsolete anyway
The CASINO CAPITALISM is new, a copy of the 1929 Great Depression. The Great Depression was created when free low cost money created massive casino capitalism. The side bets on WHICH WAY any asset class MAY GO became much larger many 100x larger than the real economic market.
In 2019 this condition has gone digital versus physical trading walls known as BUCK SHOPS outlawed in all 50 states by Federal Law following the speculator driven super crashes that closed the banks themselves. The banks made fully borrowed side bets.
Today the financial institutions are Side betting at leverage and margins and % levels no economy has known before. The CASINO CAPITALISIM MARKET grew out of AI and assumed over 90% control of all money flows for baseless non economic greed and profit making gambling on borrowed money. Just like the RISK in the Great Depression only much much worse at every measurable nexus.
Keep in mind in such a party we all drink and are merry till we fall off the cliff than we blame game – oh me oh my – how could this have happened. It happens because six hundred law makers have too much money from Wallstreet to blind them to understand the economics that have shifted. WE ARE NOW IN A NEW AI LEVERAGE GLOBAL EOCONOMY NO LEADER UNDERSTANDS AT ALL AND WHICH IS SUPER CHANGING SO FAST NO ONE HAS TOOLS TO STAY CURRENT ON THE PATHOLOGY FORM AND OUTCOMES OF THE NEW ECONOMY.
What we know for sure is RISK is higher today than in 1929 for a far worse much more rapid outcome in a SUPER CRASH brought on by DEBT DE-LEVERAGING to rebalance system absue in core economics. Hitting the mountain in mid flight full power.
Why would we crash into the mountain?
- Do not see the mountain
- Are told there is no mountain
- Believe others will fly us over the mountain
- Take zero responsibility to fly ourselves
- Fail to look out the window
Repeating worst than 1929 is not what the world system needs today.
The world system is at full risk of collapse. Banks fail next time and there is no tax payer bail out. Banks close for real.
No one appreciates the danger but some TREASURY officials and the IMF sounding the alarm bell at the BIG FREEZE while everyone is not listening because they are all bought and paid for in nice warm blankets from the Wall Street crowd blinded entirely forging a new AI economy without any oversight rules or regulatory guide lines of any kind what so ever.
IS THIS THE WAY TO RUN GLOBAL ECONOMICS?
SUMMERY IN TIME: BUILID YOUR OWN SAFE HARBOR TO PROSPER DEC 11th
We believe we will see a record all time stock wealthy from the year end ONE TRILLION DOLLARS in buying power in just America alone this year. Up bubble. We believe FED Interest destructors to the Housing Market now in full crash will lower 2019 GNP and bring the booming economy from 5% growth as we rise up to that for the first time in 30 years – down to 1.6% growth where dysfunctional congress has kept America backward for 30 years of time now.
The American public votes on issues that are non economic and fail to vote their wallet which is their best vote. They just are misinformed by 5.6 billion spent in 18 prior months to brain wash voter points of view. Those wishing to buy the nation don’t see the risk taking place economically. Most are attorney law makers legally trained brains with the most limited tools to assess economic outcomes in fact.
2019 will be a GREAT SLOWING of America with the wild card being infrastructure. If the Congress votes fast enough on infrastructure that stimulus may offset the FED destruction of global liquidity and irresponsible loan interest rate rising too soon too fast too frequently for the market to adjust.
The war of economics from FED failed errors in policy will drag the world into recession in 2020 without offsets. Such as slowing interest rate rising. The Fed is dangerous today in their ignorance. The Fed is a backward obsolete institution that only creates failed policy and pain today. Given these criminal bankers not part of the national system not a federal agency at all POWER AND CREDABILITY without check and balance is an obsolete concept. MERGE THE FED BACK INTO US TREASURY BEFORE IT IS ALL TOO LATE.
Economics 101 all abuse in the system must rebalance.
The rebalancing is taking place with great pain for the second shoe falling in 2019. You will feel the pain from recession in 2020 to 2022 deepening on Congress the Fed and infrastructure.
The problem IS the next down turn could be catastrophic due to DEBT CASCADING DEFAULTS leading to LIQUIDIATION EVAPORATION DAY. Remember that we told you the WHAT the HOW the WHEN right here in this blog.
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