YEILD CURVE & RECORD MONTH HIGHS
First lets review. Near term to 2021 we have a boom economic market with risks of unknown shocks from trade wars not resolving to agreements and more.
Second lets pause this summer to review our prediction record highs would come following the Spring Dip we predicted in 2015 2016 2017 and Jan 2018 when last all time high markets were reached.
Third in July as CEOSPACE is being hosted for business owners and leaders in Florida ( Next is October 8th before the final quarter ) we see record Global Market highs world wide and record world month highs in 2018 for the US dollar both we predicted as well now come to pass.
The world financial news is filled with Yield Curve. By now our readers are well educated the yield curve is a graph of the short term three month cost of borrowing in institutional government debt say US treasuries – and the long term ten year cost of longer term ten year bonds. When the difference between the risk of longer term bet placing is higher than shorter term betting – the market see’s a wide window between boom times and recessions. When the yield curve FLATTENS and the interest on short term bets and long term bets becomes closer – historically – a recession is coming in a year in 18 months and one might plan to reposition assets against a down turn in overall contractions of economies until the next recovery.
Global super money pools now controlled by advanced AI software platforms circulating some leveraged 440 trillion in capital – primarily into manipulation of prices of all asset classes into the worlds largest SUPER BUBBLE, including DEBT SUPER BUBBLES, continues to grow and expand at rates never seen before. The Super Money Pool AI Software has built in algorithms ( we believe as Silicon Valley AI programers ourselves with 1,000,000 lines of code patented world wide in software – THAT – the first generation of AI over money is not “right’ – accurate – or better in any regard to human active management in fact we think given the speculation bias AI over money is worse ). We call the present market the first in the human experience CASINO CAPITALISM. Everyone is betting at the AI casino on 26 red and spinning the wheels.
Ron Paul the former legislator in Congress reported this week ” FOLKS THE MARKETS OF THE WORLD ARE 100% A SUPER BUBBLE – IT IS ALL THE WORLDS WORST SUPER BUBBLE AND IT IS GOING TO EXPLORE PREPARE YOURSELVES” ? Because he has been saying this for a while no one believes him. However he said the 2008 Crash was coming do to the real estate super bubble and he was RIGHT ON.
Back to the Yield Curve. If you examine charts on the New York Fed Site or CNBC Site as we have we find that the basis point spread of 10 year to 3 month debt – remains a healthy 100 basis points or so apart. It is not 20 basis points. Which would ring my alarm bell. Consider the Yield Curve is largely super money pool and AI “anticipation” of trajectory for FED POLICY. The anticipation being built into some flattening of short and long term risk is the anticipation of the Fed moving from FREE MONEY POLICY and virtually no interest or inflation adjusted profit to own such debt bets into market rate interest of higher than 3% rising back to 7%. This anticipatory set in the short term – through the fall – tends to flatten down the yield curve – but against a historic ONE OFF set of circumstances. A generationally stimulus to avoid global depression now moving to normalization of global monetary policy against a more stable world economic environment.
Also we have AI not humans controlling the anticipatory set – all investment that flattens this curve for the first time artificially – and in this context of data I personally join Fed Chairman’s words before congress this week – which he repeated three times – THAT – the Fed sees zero evidence of recession nor or next year or anytime coming they can and we can foresee on todays known facts.
The market message on yield curve BECALMED. We are no where near a canary in the mine and investing is buy in the dip and profit in the year end record global market highs coming as we see our month to 2018 high right now. Things could not be going better. They just could not.
Talk and reality. First the USA did not start anything. The USA talking for 50 years with rising screaming for ten years has stated unfair trade barriers – ( taxes on us while we don’t tax you ) is a cost of business to the USA – that is a subsidy our citizens pay to protect price for everyone else world wide while we are a price dumping ground for your goods and you make our work product so highly taxed we can’t sell them in your nation.
President Trump has stopped screaming and has built a TRADE WALL legally and about damn time. The TRADE WALL POLICY says we will tax you precisely how you tax the USA. The nations being taxed for the first time at the same rate they tax us – of course did not think the USA would ever do that step and they of course do not LIKE IT at all like we don’t like it at all in reverse.
Trump’s team has made it quite clear we would prefer a world of zero tariff of tax – you tax us zero we tax you zero. Or we just match you decide.
As nations see that the USA is:
- A not backing down
- Is reciprocity tax policy and its the law now
- Trade deals are the way forward the only way forward
So with all the chest pounding and for folks back home mud throwing at the USA – great talks are going on everywhere. Talks are taking place from Asia to EU and all over the world. Trade deal final copy is being developed from complex deals with drafts in development. These trade deals will usher in NO NATIONS IS LEFT BEHIND PROSPERITY.
The world is coming together in a new cooperation that humanity has never known before. The old non aligned nations are becoming so few you can count them on your two hands our of almost 300 sovereign nations – NOT BAD AT ALL REALLY.
The great Sadness on the planet given our work to detect and deflect incoming so we are all not wiped out – to tera form climate change to ideal earth health – and to wipe out global poverty and disease – why would MUSLIMS slaughter one another all over the Gulf and Africa. It is Muslim’s slaughtering each other that is the great % of human ignorance and insanity.
It is insane to punish what is different about humanity in any form or way – it is a form of insanity. Competitive mid brain thought pulse – competition is a form of insanity and we should education children their primary responsibility is to preclude insane thinking and to CELEBRATE all diversity in the human tapestry as interesting and wonderful – we learn so much from one another – and to cooperation and collaborate as expressions of sanity versus insanity. That value is universal and until adopted and instructed we risk insane mid reptilian brain competitive inanity. Our violent video games all addictive to create endless mindless profits – and our film industry populated by praising violence versus its opposite socialize the insanity and reenforce propensity for mid brain lower brain function loops into defensive – violent solutions as heroic from the dominant media we see everywhere versus its black out and removal from human consumption as sane versus insane. THE LOOP we are all stuck within creates a repeat of our history in needless insane wars.
7 Billion of us and the majority of my brothers and sisters who have taught me over five decades the Koran and the wonder of the Muslim faith join together in having no regard whatsoever of a Sunni – Whabbi – Shitie – punishing one another for how they worship God or conduct political affairs. We all wish the minority effect to CELEBRATE all differences of humanity versus punish it as my Koran I have on my cell phone instructs us all to do. I find clarity in the Koran for total forgiveness. I find no instructed for Muslim to over centuries kill Muslim just the opposite. So the Civil WAR inside the Muslim Faith must be resolved by the MUSLIM MAJORITY rising up and declaring all who would punish diversity in the Muslim faith as insane and NON MUSLIMS. Those who celebrate diversity in the Muslim community are sane and Muslim.
INSANE or SANE.
The World Press needs to label those who punish diversity in the name of faith as CRAZIES. Crazy ISIS. Crazy Talibans. The SANE MULSIM LEADERSHIP says this and that about the crazies. DO THAT and real estate for crazy brains shrinks and recruiting to the insane is never glamorized again.
I’m off my soap box but that huge part of the suffering for so many mommies and children and daddies and uncles and aunts and so many suffering – one bomb one suicide in the name of Allah after another ( its insane to punish diversity of anything that is human ) it is sane to CELEBRATE OUR DIVERSITY.
The Great awakening is occurring world wide to this thought process. The defining work on THINKING and WAKING UP since Napoleon Hill ( who raised me in my home a good deal of my life ) is and remains REDEMPTION THE COOPERATION REVOLUTION you can buy world wide to WAKE UP YOUR HOME – and families and teams – a book that reads you while you read the book. Amazon has the book and I wrote it just for you to wake up.
THE FED – THE OTHER GREAT AWAKENING COMING SOON
The Fed Chairman made his appearance to congress and reported the economy of the world and the USA is strong and no recession in sight. HE is so confident of the strength he intends to reward his secret shareholders ( the banks ) by raising interest rates so the banks who secretly own the FED can profit as interest is 100% of higher than it was only last year. No margin is growing faster than the cost of money in today’s casino capitalism.
Every time I hear the words – THE FED IS INDEPENDENT – I think of pure FRAUD and criminal fraud on all the rest of us. The Fed is owned in secret by the banks they regulate. How economically insane is just that idea? Any Google research of FEDERAL RESERVE FRAUD ( do not take my word for anything just click I just did lick and here it is if your too lazy to do it yourself and it applies world wide to your central banks folks ….):
And you get so many pages – say AN IDIOTS GUIDE TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE FRAUD.
Central banks are stealing the wealth of nations. Also central banks given our DIGITAL FULL GLOBAL TRANSPARENCY TO MARKETS TODAY need to retain all their policy and processes but be merged back into their respective TREASURIES for oversight – audits – and a firewall to assure nations do not pay anything to print their own currency say like China.
Folks – it was bad policy to create central banks and it is horrific sea anchor on economies of the world to allow an elite few in economics to profit so enormously by controlling the money supply without oversight audit or any aspect of check and balance.
The constitution in the USA does not allow a private firm to print money. IT IS NOT CONSTITUTIONAL.
Folks read the link in this blog and educate to first just first define the Federal Reserve Board is a private company not an agency of nation in any way at any level. The Fed should be called Tony Sappano’s bank – as if the MAFI owned the FED because folks the criminal banks ( all of them ) that have paid billions in fines for crimes and they just do more crimes like Wells Fargo BANK ( Now having a run on their banks as a trillion dollars moves out to non criminal banks ) own the FED – so if the criminals own the private firm congress allows to print our money for 100 years – when the Treasury printed it for hundreds of years – zero depressions – zero world wars – global depressions and world wars only began for the USA when the FED criminal central bank and their 100% failed policies is reviewed. READ so your hypnotism is removed and you wake up out of our economic trance and this applies to all nations world wide.
Now if 100% of Fed Policies have failed – and the politics of today are historic – they raise interest following crashes their failed policies created in the first place ( but the criminals are never executed let alone put in prison ) THEY create by raising interest far too fast far too soon far too frequently far to high – a SUPER CRASH A WORLD RECESSION AND A WORLD WAR which they uniquely make massive profits from doing while we are all slaughtered suffering.
IF that is their future for us – why not elect candidates to congress who will MERGE THE FED INTO US TREASURY. Ask your candidates everyone on that one policy and vote in those who say yes. Keep in mind the candidates have no clue of what you know unless they read this blog – they are economically Fed Hypnotized.
LEARN EARN AND RETURN is my motto on this blog.
Berny Dohrmann – THAT IS WHAT IS GOING ON OUT THERE