TRADE WAR SPIRALS:
Competitive Capitalism a variation of feudalism economics unfolds history like this over 5000 years without deviation once:
- Consolidation – elites consolidate wealth until 99% of all wealth is owned and controlled by less than 1% which creates instability in dynamic circulations and fosters rampant elite class speculations and price manipulations.
- This instability reaches a BREACH POINT as it did in 2008 and the world system has a SERIOUS MELTDOWN. Stage one in rebalancing global accounts massively out of balance in the trade by this time.
- A period of years of spiraling trade wars begins. It starts with currency manipulations and moves to every nation is in it for themselves. Cooperation breaks down and competition skyrockets. The USA just took 30% of Canada’s lumber trade one of our largest items from our largest trade partners who are subsidizing pricing – speculatively – and slapped serious TARRIF TAXES on all that massive lumber trade. This is the opening volley of a GLOBAL TRADE WAR SPIRAL moving from EU to Asia to Africa to everywhere. The spiral is tightening as it always does historically at this point in time.
- The trade wars foster a growing further system instability in trade balances which instigates typically from defaults on massive debt somewhere in the system a CONTAGION EVENT – a GLOBAL SYSTEM WIDE DOMINOE event no one could predict. This creates in digital space almost instantly a SUPER CRASH as all liquidity dries up and the system itself locks up.
- This creates World Depression and World Wars every single time – no deviation – not once – not ever.
I’ve written as an economist investment banker – if we know this is the outcome – why do we move into more of that process? Why do we not prevent it? Why do we not use our new tools new tactics and work to prevent the spiral tightening?
With the financial history, we just seem to all have Alzheimer’s. We do not learn and earn from our prior errors.
We repeat them and relive them. Over and over generationally.
It seems insane to me. That’s what the financial records show us historically.
And HERE WE GO AGAIN – the trade war is heating up – and now close neighbors are fully engaged. The US slapping enormous tariff taxes on Canada for the money crop of its softwood forest exports. To its biggest buyer USA. Noting Canada is selling subsidized lumber prices – dumping on American markets lower than it sells domestically and skewing markets to support its own special groups. As we do not do THAT we want fair trade on price, not subsidy pricing. So the TRADE WAR after years of failed discussions enters a new phase in April 2017. It is not good news as stress with Canada and USA is rising.
So where does this all lead?
To something new?
Or something we all well know?
We’ll have to wait and see now – will we not? It’s all in my BOOK “REDEMPTION THE COOPERATION REVOLUTION” at Amazon for the reader who wants to step out front in all this.
Berny Dohrmann _ HOLDING REDEMPTION AS AN OPTION FOR ALL OF US
PS: If you see it differently you can post comments – post yours I want to hear what you think?
CEOSPACE INTERNATIONAL – ON THE BOOM TIMES:
As the markets report the following in late April 2017:
- All time record high stocks and NASDAQ
- All time robust and rising bond markets
- All time high real estate sales and pricing
- Lowest interest rates in decades
- Rising output and earnings EU-Asia and the USA
We have told you to buy low – which the market is super high – and to sell HIGH. Now.
We have told you there is more downside risk today and why then there remains upside high side delights.
We have told you the BEST PLACE TO INVEST as CEO SPACE is the world’s largest small business owner community and network serving professionals in practice and small business owners with 1000 or less employee’s who wish to grow faster – though we get FORTUNE EXECUTIVES who desire our core skill advanced training.
We suggest that INVESTING now in your forward growth during this boom period is your priority. We believe you will all look backward and not too long from now – at the last greatest expansion period your this generation. Not to be repeated in our adult lifetime.
I would not worry too much about geopolitical events right yet. They will unfold as they always do and we can expect volatility from a software digital casino capitalism up and down and back up again. It is all new frontier. New history. No past precedent to predict how it all turns out. No one knows.
This right now IS THE BOOM TIME.
If you miss the BOOM you miss the opportunity of your adult lifetime.
To maximize the boom the TOOLS and TACTICS your missing must be acquired. That is new mental software for the owner of the business. Your upgrade. To become fully current in the super change market space your venture must adapt to.
CEO SPACE May 22nd as the prior blog defines – upgrades the boss – so the missing tools and tactics are now in your possession. Opportunities that were right in front of you are now acquired in the second half of 2017 versus missed out on forever. The BOOM is more fully harvested just as 72 % of all spending in the second half of 2017 unfolds. A sling shot effect is unfolding. You want to be inside that momentum in your business.
If you believe you need to upgrade a few core skills to vastly accelerate profit growth for your venture space – we would like you to reduce June tax payouts with a CEO SPACE membership “one-time” asset purchase for a LIFETIME of benefits from that asset that pay huge returns on the tax dollar saved. May we prove that to you? May we show you WHY we are ranked # 1 by Forbes and Inc as the SINGLE CONFERENCE A BUSINESS OWNER CAN “NOT AFFORD” TO MISS IN 2017?
Two-minute film clip that will educate any reader who owns a business or knows someone who does how MUCH MONEY they can make with CEO SPACE May 22nd at Disney World in Orlando. Over 20 nations will be attending and you should as well.
Acceleration in your business is our primary work. Helping our membership keep their money and avoid loss in the forward markets with hard data is the other service we provide. We know we spit in the wind by telling you the future has a SUPER CRASH inside it – but you know that. Meanwhile, the market will roll around global events like a drunken sailor and you can make money if you like legal gambling in that casino. Or you can sit on the side in lifetime safely diversified insurance investment assets with fully guaranteed nest eggs making the highest returns and always liquid and avoid the forward market risk.
In the end, the BEST INVESTMENT in 2017 and 2018 is GROWTH OF YOUR OWN BUSINESS. Sell out HIGH and invest in advertising, promotion, sales, CEO SPACE and related acceleration steps to hyper-grow during these boom times.
I would not miss the BOOM of 2017 in growing your dreams for anything.
That is my message and me”m sticking to it. Read my prior blog on CEO SPACE or my Facebook and Linked articles online.
Have the BEST WEEK we ARE – Berny Dohrmann _ Chairman CEO SPACE INTERNATIONAL
MAY 22nd – DISNEY WORLD RESORT – CEOSPACE HOSTS MID-YEAR CONFERENCE
BUSINESS OWNERS from all over the world will join together in Orlando Florida in one month. The Ceospace BUSINESS GROWTH CONFERENCE ranked # 1 in the World in 2017:
BY PRESITIGOUS FORBES ONLINE
BY INC MAGAZINE AS WELL
AND BY OTHERS
Produces the BEST OF ITS SERIES at the MID-YEAR when half the year is gone. As 72 % of all global consumer spending occurs in the second half of the year – business owners are encouraged to:
- Develop new skills and currency in the fast pacing super change market place
- To improve plans teams and resources for second half profit making
- To grow trading networks and customer base accelerating sales immediately
- To map out better results for the second half than the first half
- To use Fortune Mentorship not available one on one anywhere else
Films on our website: http://www.ceospace.net define our value to every industry and business category or professional in practice. CEO SPACE accelerates growth. CEO SPACE lowers time and lowers cost to reach higher profits. Members make money. That is why they become members. One price exchanges for a LIFETIME MEMBERSHIP ASSET where the member CEO who owns the business or practice can return to give GROWTH CONFERENCES over any rolling 12 months of time – for life – for FREE – forever. A tax dollar returns a huge profit on investment to own the asset. Prices are unchanged since 1988.
CEO SPACE serves business owners who address the questions:
- Yes, I want to accelerate my growth and Yes I know I need HELP to complete that acceleration process.
- Yes, I want the oldest largest and most highly ranked # 1 in that space to help me.
- Yes I see CEO SPACE as a business building machine, not a seminar or workshop
- Yes I get I have unlimited one on one expert mentor time on site 5 x a year
- Yes, I get I leave with better plans improved teams and resources and customers I lacked when I came in the door. I make money AT CEO SPACE which is transactional, not educational. It is a new model of a trade show to get business completed.
Any business owner or professional who wishes to accelerate growth faster will in ONE MONTH wish to consider being registered and a new member with CEO SPACE. Leaders who wish to grow core skills, to acquire hard tools and tactics to overcome challenge lists, and to not have to delay higher pay – chose CEO SPACE. CEO SPACE is the world’s leading business accelerator. We grow the business faster.
A one-time fee provides a lifetime asset of membership value inside a process that grows with your business in stages and phases. We help you resell or go public. CEO SPACE is also the largest one stop SUPER STORE for everything the business owner requires or desires. Say you desire branding improvement – online sale velocity improvement – IP protection – capital raising – contract legal advice – administration system improvement – key personnel – outlets globally – access to Fortune outlets or B to B – it’s all present inside one SUPER STORE for the business OWNERS. 30 years of asset building to make sure your needs are inside the store and addressed. Our films online define the value more clearly.
CEO SPACE is not similar or like anything else you have ever associated with. CEO SPACE delivers:
- New customer base
- New Markets
- New Strategic Partnerships and Alliances
- System-wide improvements across your own challenge list
- You just don’t have to wait to lower time and cost to reach growth goals
Our promise is that we WILL NOT QUIT until YOU ( our customer-owners ) WIN. And we don’t and we won’t.
We operate in the COOPERATION CULTURES where all our business owners help one another without condition – itself making a fluid dynamic global market space in which to conduct business. Our skills transfer leaders from IVY league Universities state is superior to what they received in post-graduate work. Our skill shares immediate boss upgrades and are used and put to work for profit.
All who own ventures need to invest in CURRENCY becoming more current in the SUPER CHANGE market space.
CEO SPACE is the fun place where owners come together and at the mid-year – make sure the second half is better than the first.
If you know a business owner who should be aware of CEO SPACE – share this message with them. You will change their journey to be so much richer.
Berny Dohrmann – CHAIRMAN FOUNDER CEO SPACE INTERNATIONAL
PS: THE Best back to back two programs of any year are to join for the May 22nd Program – learn how to use it and mid year correct – then return for the even larger Teen Feast Program in August largest of any year with wealthy parents world wide on site – now knowing how it works just slamming growth in May and August back to back. Call 256 850 4717 and ask Meg to help you Enroll anytime.
DID YOU BUY INTO THE HUGE STOCK RALLY?
The two traditional ruling parties in France were derailed on Sunday. A new Party won and an old Party on the far right Won. Both winners in a run off wish to leave the EU. This policy if followed may help France and crush the EU. Italy is going to leave when it votes next year. The EU can not remain intact with France and Italy leaving. Others are rallying up to leave as well.
No one knows what will replace the EU. And EU currency is going to become very volatile before it becomes utterly worthless.
So why would this drive a record pace to stock prices?
Against what else?
Well, Syria has the largest INDIVIDUAL asset freeze of its leadership and wealth class who are underwriting the SARIN GAS manufacturing. That is an escalation. Just in.
Venezuela VICE PRESIDENT and leadership were sanctioned and accounts frozen for dealing drugs as the national government sponsor level. That is an escalation. Just in.
Trump has invited all 100 Senators to meet at the White House ( right now ) on his NORTH KOREA BRIEFING. This can change world orders in and of itself and fast. Markets will be unable to even manage liquidity calls with such tension rising. Experts say we are at the brink of World War III now.
North Korea has stated it will make the first strike a preemptive strike on the US ARMADA as a display of its powers that are appropriate – and that Trump is warned to keep such capacity out of their sphere of influence. Keeping in mind North Korea is a rogue nation with a million person army that is a fully militarized nation. North Korea is a small little country that if they attacked the US and South Korea ( their own people ) the war would be over quick. In a short time, there would be no more North Korea at all. That would be terrible but a consequence. This is not like a conventional war. This is a war about a gang of crazy brains having powers of mass destruction with delivery systems. That is an item they could have negotiated away for prosperity but elected to keep for posterity. The result is the WRONG CHOICE and TRUMP IS the WRONG GUY to test it out on.
As this tension sets into play and our carrier arrives on site this WEEK we have confidence and lower risk in the world?
And stocks soar against this rising risk?
Retail sales are so in decline in over build North America BEBE just stated it would close all 170 stores and go out of retail. Oceans of others are following behind them as the retail sector collapses. This is a reason to have record stock sales? Prices?
The NASQ achieving its 6000 record breaking status – is what – 20 stocks are driving the entire upside – the base of stocks on NASDAQ have nothing to do with the 20 drivers – that is a weak structural base – an upside down pyramid – a wobble – a wheel out of balance.
Fools rallies are when fools rush in on euphoric emotion. What created the rally? Data. Software reacting to data. The markets can be volatile with up and downs like a drunken sailor before SUPER CRASH.
The contagion event that will spark SUPER CRASH is unknown as to the WHAT or the TIMING. We can suspect but we can’t define with precision the trigger.
The wilder these swings up and down – the more condensed the TRADING WAVE PATTERN. As the WAVE PATTERN CONDENSES further it leads to a SUPER WAVE which will become the SUPER CRASH.
We will then not see another boom like this last one in your adult lifetime. So this is it. Play it out accordingly watching your risk when liquidity dries up completely. As it shall.
Today we have:
* Record stock prices
* Rising bond yield curves
* Rising interest rates
* Soaring home values and home prices and home sales
* A 1% overall recovery – across the world – some hot spots not many
* Driving the frenzy is hope and promise and speculative investing
* The Fed is going to stop spending – start selling – and raise prices of interest and raise market rates by selling its assets.
* This will take the dollar higher when to recover in trade the US needs the dollar lower.
* This Fed move can by itself generate a market recession effect.
* No one can predict outcome of the SUPER BUBBLES being created by prolonged free money policies over ten years.
* As free money comes to a close SUPER BUBBLES tend to BURST and that creates panic and recession effects in markets.
We look at these details and rub our glasses and say like in the fairy tale – Mirror Mirror on the walls when it comes to stocks DID YOU BUY THEM ALL?
Berny Dohrmann – Out of the Market and staying out till the SHIFT
THE EU – HAS NO PLAN “B” –
The EU currency and political-economic system are a treaty contractual agreement. The agreement is breaking down as the British exit the EU system. The party controlling ITALY Politics is massively ahead in the polls for next year’s election – and they wish to LEAVE THE EU entirely. Italy the worst of the debt nations with banks that are truly bankrupted, are on life support. Fitch this weekend AGAIN downgraded Italy Credit Ranking – to a low government level of BBB which means borrowing and refinancing costs for the massive debt – 100’s of times more than Italy makes annually – will now rise and rise when they are broke. This makes Italy avoiding a default or bank failure problematic. Italy will leave the EU.
All eyes are on France Sunday as the massive 80 million vote to determine will France stay in the EU. If France goes out of the EU and Italy goes out of the EU ( for sure based on voter polls today ) there is NO viable economic EU. The EU currency becomes worthless in effect. The reconstitution of economics will take time and present the world system with challenges.
The stability of the EU has moved from economic super high risk to geopolitical higher risks.
Sunday North Korea threatened that they WILL WIPE OUT THE US AIRCRAFT CARRIER AND ARMADA with a single strike. While these crazy brains make their wild insane asylum statements it is not lost on them – that such a strike – delivers in less than 30 minutes – the end of North Korea as a viable space for life on the planet – from American Subs all focused wipe out powers upon North Korea. Weapons the world has never seen and is unaware exist with their Super Powers. The military in North Korea is not insane and those leaders who control power money and the toys – will in the end – be a little reluctant to have the crazy brains commit 30 minute suicide in a General MAD DOG MATHIS world – you can count on Trump to take no pause in reaction to any attack on America. North Korea simply ceases to exist with such a crazy brain move and the world knows THAT and so does North Korea.
So the talk from North Korea – has no effect – and is an age where CRAZY TALK is over. Their insane idea of themselves is about to be challenged by the leading SUPER POWER Of the world and their entire people’s survival is at risk from their crazy brain choices. Crazy brains can no longer be allowed to hold powers in today’s shrinking world of collaboration.
Those who cooperate and collaborate prosper – those who compete will perish.
That is the new mental software.
So geopolitically and economically all eyes on our PARIS. Today’s election will effect next week’s markets. We are seeing next week the following:
- GREAT NEWS & HUGE SURPRISE – Greek Leadership beat all expert expectations on growth and came in double the growth anyone expected to make a SURPLUS in 2016. They won. It’s a huge win. Now the IMF noting the new EU accounting standards were applied and the outcome is STUNNING – is this outcome sustainable. That is the next expert review before the July 6 billion loan repayment made possible only by the next huge bailout as Greece does not have the money to pay its bills still.
- The USA may close down if congress does not pass emergency spending legislation. Will they? There is no long term approved USA budget as required by Law from last September. Can the nation keep going on emergency temporary legislation and what does all that do to the American credit rating?
- Tax and Health Care bills are in process but the effects of both are likely to come much later than Trump desires if at all – and may derail further putting any result from TRUMP to the market space off till 2018 at the earliest. No TRUMP result to market profits and dynamics is likely in 2017 that anyone can see today.
- The TRUMP effect on the market IS chilling.
- The markets have been assessing RISK including OIL which despite enormous pressure to jaw bone prices up – the SURPLUS or oversupply is here to stay as we have reported – and oil dropped again last week also as we reported against the experts saying it was going to 60 dollars when it touched 49.00 dollars in fact.
The market is volatile.
The market is subject not to economics now but to geopolitical events affecting core trade and balance of market shares.
The world is in a TRADE WAR.
The Trade war is digital and ongoing.
Every nation is in the TRADE WAR for their own GNP result.
Trading agreements are being revised. Like the wind.
TIT for TAT tariffs taxes fines and penalties are being evoked nation to nation including bans on products ( to protect internal local suppliers ) over free and open trade. The IMF dropped its opposition to protection language in the FINANCE MINISTER final report to accommodate a more “intention to cooperate versus compete ” tone. The leadership agreed to stop debate on what TRADE WAR and PROTECTIONISM “means” ( we all know what it means ) to focus on outcomes everyone wants – which is each individual nation crying out like eagle babies in a nest for their worms – MORE MONEY FOR ME FOR ME FOR ME.
In this world where cooperation is breaking down – where trust is breaking down into distrust and renegotiations – the geopolitical risk is the market risk to consider. The super high system economic risk we have defined for you as core to the system itself ravaged by:
- A persistent global deflationary death spiral of economic implosions
- A rising DEBT BOMB to fuel growth that is not sustainable globally
- Nonperforming loans in the system passing 200 trillion globally
- Lack of vision to retool the debt crises
- Lack of global G 100 Regulatory Framework to moderate rampant speculator price manipulation of all asset classes creating a global digital casino capitalism.
These five forces must be revised by the most significant leadership re-think of global regulatory frameworks within a G 100 ECONOMIC CONSTITUTIONAL CONVENTION for the world to pass a first GLOBAL REGULATORY FRAMEWORK all G 100 nations sign on to such that the digital world is uniformly and properly under risk moderation without speculator price manipulation capacity.
Until that reframe occurs the system we know today is on final life support and will crash into a financial cardiac arrest – SUPER CRASH – at the time everything looks to be most solid and rosie – surprising and shocking everyone – but my readers.
Berny Dohrmann – STAYING OUT FROM JUST FOR YOU TODAY